Football - Playoff Predictions
The below are multiple playoff brackets. The first is the bracket my model gave after tabulating all of the games through conference championship Saturday. The second is the bracket I believe should have been the final bracket. Below those are the predictions that both my model and myself have made for the outcome of the actual CFP bracket announced on Sunday.
Model's Playoff Bracket:
First four out:
Tennessee, Alabama, Ole Miss, South Carolina
First round:
#9 Penn State @ #8 Indiana
#12 Arizona State @ #5 Notre Dame
#11 Miami (FL) @ #6 Texas
#10 SMU @ #7 Ohio State
Byes:
#1 Oregon
#2 Georgia
#3 Boise State
#4 Clemson
My Playoff Bracket:
First four out:
Miami (FL), South Carolina, Ole Miss, Alabama
First round:
#9 Tennessee @ #8 Penn State
#12 Clemson @ #5 Ohio State
#11 SMU @ #6 Notre Dame
#10 Indiana @ #7 Texas
Byes:
#1 Oregon
#2 Georgia
#3 Boise State
#4 Arizona State
Predictions for Real CFP:
First Round:
#12 Clemson @ #5 Texas
Model: Texas
Me: Texas
#9 Tennessee @ Ohio State
Model: Ohio State
Me: Tennessee
#11 SMU @ @6 Penn State
Model: Penn State
Me: Penn State
#10 Indiana @ #7 Notre Dame
Model: Notre Dame
Me: Notre Dame
Quarterfinals:
Peach Bowl
Model: Texas vs Arizona State (Texas wins)
Me: Texas vs Arizona State (Arizona State wins)
Rose Bowl
Model: Ohio State vs Oregon (Oregon wins)
Me: Tennessee vs Oregon (Oregon wins)
Fiesta Bowl
Model: Penn State vs Boise State (Penn State wins)
Me: Penn State vs Boise State (Boise State wins)
Sugar Bowl
Model: Notre Dame vs Georgia (Notre Dame wins)
Me: Notre Dame vs Georgia (Georgia wins)
Semifinals:
Orange Bowl
Model: Texas vs Oregon (Oregon wins)
Me: Arizona State vs Oregon (Oregon wins)
Cotton Bowl
Model: Penn State vs Notre Dame (Notre Dame wins)
Me: Boise State vs Georgia (Georgia wins)
CFP National Championship:
Model: Oregon vs Notre Dame (Oregon wins)
Me: Oregon vs Georgia (Oregon wins)
In my opinion, Oregon and Georgia are clearly the two best teams in the country and I would not surprise me in the slightest to see #1 vs #2 in the National Championship! However, 2024 has been the year of upsets and it would only take a couple of slip-ups for one of the favorites to be toppled.